CF Poll · May 2026
Cooper leads Whatley by 7 as Trump hits −12 approval and Democrats open a 6-point legislative ballot lead
Read the full results →Interactive Explorer
Model what a partisan shift might mean for the North Carolina State Legislature
Drag the slider to model how a partisan wave in either direction would flip legislative seats from the 2024 baseline.
What would a partisan shift from 2024 mean for the NC legislature?
Drag or step through shifts from the 2024 presidential baseline. Hover any district for its projected lean.
D ± 0
71 R – 49 D
R+18+ → Toss-up → D+18+
Elasticity model built on 2020 Pres, 2020 Gov, 2024 Pres, and 2024 AG results. Baseline is conservative for Democrats. Maps reflect SL 2023-146 (Senate) and SL 2023-149 (House).
Past waves
- CF Poll · January 2026Cooper holds a 5-point lead over Whatley as NC voters remain narrowly divided heading into 2026January 2026Full results →
- CF Poll · Fall 2025Roy Cooper leads 2026 Senate race; Trump approval underwater as NC legislature hits historic unpopularitySeptember 2025Full results →
- CF Poll · Spring 2025Stein's approval soars while NC voters turn sharply against Trump allies, federal lawmakers, and the state legislatureApril 2025Full results →
- CF Poll · August 2024Harris and Trump dead-even in NC; Stein opens commanding 10-point lead over RobinsonAugust 2024Full results →
- CF Poll · February 2024NC Governor's race heads to the general as a statistical dead heat; suburban voters continue drifting toward DemocratsFebruary 2024Full results →
- CF Poll · March 2023Stein and Robinson dead-even in early 2024 Governor's race; NC voters back removing Jim Crow literacy test from state constitutionMarch 2023Full results →
- CF Poll · August 2022Biden approval underwater but NC voters evenly split on the legislature — and support for abortion access is growingAugust 2022Full results →
Questions?
For questions or to schedule an interview, please contact comms@carolinaforward.org.
The Carolina Forward Poll is an independent, nonpartisan opinion research project that seeks to better understand voter sentiment across North Carolina.